Canada’s two largest provinces by Blask Index sat almost level in August 2026. Projected revenue stayed apart.
Ontario and Quebec lead every other Canadian province on Blask Index. One has run a competitive market since iGaming Ontario launched in April 2022. The other keeps online gambling as a Loto-Québec monopoly: the crown corporation calls its site the only legal gaming website in the province. The two geos were already this tight in January, then the open market pulled away through spring.
On April 1, 2026, Statistics Canada estimated 16.1M people in Ontario and 9M in Quebec. The August close, against that gap, means heavier per-capita search in the monopoly province.
Ontario iGaming still leads on CEB
Ontario’s Index fell further than Quebec’s after July, which is how the lines met.
CEB (Competitive Earning Baseline, projected revenue) for January–August 2026 puts the open market 47% ahead of the monopoly.
Blask’s license split for that window puts four-fifths of Ontario CEB with onshore brands. Quebec’s figure is the reverse: 84% sits with offshore brands. Comparable search demand is converting into more projected revenue where private operators compete.